May 30, 2026

Monetary Colonialism: When the Power to Print Money Becomes Class Power

Monetary Colonialism Money Creation · Collateral · Asset Inflation
New colonialism

In the past, they occupied land. Now they take over the power to create money.

Old-style colonists took resources with warships and ruling apparatus. Modern monetary colonialism is much broader: whoever is closer to the money generator – the state, the banks, the corporations, the property owners, the ruling class – gets to buy goods, land, shares and labor before the rest of society even realizes their money has been diluted.

26.9%
US M2 YoY growth at peak in February 2021
Bank
Most of the money in circulation is created when banks lend money
$168.8T
US net assets at the end of 2025, Fed Z.1
88%
Global FX trading with USD on one side, BIS 2022

Calling it "monetary colonialism" sounds extreme. But if you strip the moral charge out of the phrase, the mechanism underneath is cold: one group has access to new money, cheap credit, and collateral, so it buys real assets first; the rest receive money later through wages, transfers, or small business revenue, after housing, stocks, tuition, healthcare, and living costs have already risen.

It doesn't just happen between America and the rest of the world. It happens in every country with a modern credit system: the state issues debt, banks create money when lending, central banks control liquidity, and people with assets use those assets as collateral to borrow new capital. New money does not fall evenly on society. It follows the power pipeline.

Important note: This article does not say that all inflation or inequality is caused by "printing money". Productivity, monopolies, taxes, supply and demand, war, energy and poor governance all play a role. But the mechanism of money creation and credit distribution determines who gets to buy first, who gets saved first, who gets leverage first, and who pays the price later.

Comparison Table

Old-style colonialism, 19th-20th centuries
Modern "monetary colonialism".
Nature
Plunder resources, agricultural products and cheap labor from the colonies to the motherland.
Exchange newly created money, cheap credit, and financial assets for real goods, land, businesses, resources, and labor.
Tools
Army, direct ruling apparatus, navy, guns, trade monopoly.
Central banks, commercial banks, public debt, asset markets, collateral, accounting standards and access to liquidity.
How to operate
Force the colonies to sell raw materials at low prices, then buy high-priced industrial goods from the home country.
People closest to the source of money buy assets first; asset prices increase; Increased assets become collateral to borrow more; People who live paycheck to paycheck are pushed further away from ownership.
Penalty
Military repression, blockade, government change.
Asset inflation, rising cost of living, lagging wages, loss of home/share ownership, debt crisis as liquidity reverses.

The Money Creation Rights Loop

The core of the system does not lie in a secret conspiracy. It lies in a very public loop: assets generate credit, credit drives asset prices, higher asset prices generate more credit.

1
Have assets
Real estate, stocks, bonds, businesses or political connections become tickets into the credit system.
2
Cheap loan
Assets are mortgaged for loans. When interest rates are low, loans look cheap and leverage looks smart.
3
Buy more assets
The loan money does not necessarily go into the new factory. It often runs into real estate, stocks, M&A, land and scarce assets.
4
Asset prices increase
Rising prices make the balance sheet look better. A better balance sheet allows for more borrowing. People without assets stand outside and watch the door become narrower.

Roughly stated but true to its essence: the system rewards people who already own assets with the ability to create more money through credit. People without assets can only sell their labor time and receive money later. In a cheap-money cycle, assets take the elevator while wages take the stairs.

Bottom line: Banco de España explains it very straightforwardly: the base money created by the central bank is only a small part of the money in circulation; Most of the money we use is created by commercial banks when they lend money. When a new loan is posted to the borrower's account, new money appears. When the debt is paid, the money is destroyed.

Deeper understanding: it's not just the state that "prints money"

A common misconception is that money is only created when the state prints paper money or the central bank presses the button to create reserves. That part is real, but it's not all the money in the economy. Paper money and bank reserves are base money. The money that people and businesses use every day is mainly bank deposits.

When a commercial bank approves a 5 billion home loan, the bank does not take 5 billion in cash from the safe and give it to the borrower. In accounting practice, the bank records a new asset as "loan of 5 billion" and at the same time records a new obligation as "deposit of 5 billion" in the borrower or home seller's account. That deposit can be transferred, paid, or purchased assets. That means new purchasing power has just been created.

When the borrower repays the principal, the process goes in reverse: the loan on the bank's assets decreases, the deposits used to repay the debt disappear from the system. Therefore, when credit expands, money increases; When credit shrinks, money is destroyed. The central bank does not directly decide on each loan, but it controls the surrounding conditions: interest rates, liquidity, capital requirements, qualified assets, market expectations and willingness to save the system.

This is why collateral is important. People with good real estate, stocks, bonds or businesses can turn them into new borrowing possibilities. People without collateral cannot access new sources of money at the same price. So in the modern system, the power to create money does not lie solely with the state's printing press; it lies in the relationship between the bank, the collateral and the person authorized to borrow.

National Level: Printing Money Does Not Flow Evenly

At the national level, the ruling class does not need to own the money printing machine. They just need to control monetary policy, fiscal policy, banking laws, land markets and relief structures. When the M2/M3 money supply increases, when credit is cheap, when banks are encouraged to lend, the first person to benefit is often not the person receiving the monthly salary.

People with assets see low interest rates and understand immediately: borrow more, buy more land, buy more stocks, buy more businesses, refinance old accounts, and extend the debt term. People without assets see low interest rates but banks ask where the collateral is. With the same cheap money policy, one side receives leverage, the other side receives higher house prices.

St. Louis Fed recorded US M2 increasing at a yearly rate 26.9% in February 2021, a very unusual level in modern history. Then came goods and services inflation, but before CPI hurt everyone, asset markets had a party: stocks, crypto, real estate, private assets, startup valuation. Property owners see net worth increase. People who do not own assets see their future pulled away.

New money is not neutral. It has a receiving address, a receiving order, a person at the front of the line and a person at the end of the line.

This is the "Cantillon effect" in modern language: those who receive new money early can buy at the old price; People who receive money late have to live with the new price. In the 18th century, it might have been gold, silver, and merchants near the royal court. In the 21st century, it is banks, investment funds, landowners, large businesses, people with collateral and people with policy relationships.

Deeper understanding: Cantillon effect from the 18th to the 21st century

Richard Cantillon writes in a context where money is still strongly tied to gold and silver, colonial trade, the royal court and financial privileges. The point he sees is not just that "more money leads to higher prices". The sharper point is: new money enters the economy through a specific door, so it enriches people standing near that door before the price level can adjust.

18th century New money often came from mining, war, colonial trade, royal debt, or privileged banks. The first beneficiaries were kings, war contractors, port merchants, mine owners, landowners and financial circles close to power.
21st century New money mainly comes through bank credit, QE, repos, government bonds, capital markets and bailout policies. Pre-beneficiaries are banks, primary dealers, investment funds, asset owners, large businesses, real estate developers and collateral holders.
Price mechanism People who receive new silver/gold or banknotes buy food, land, goods, and labor before general prices increase. As money spread to farmers, craftsmen or laborers, prices for many things were higher.
Property mechanism Recipients of cheap liquidity buy stocks, real estate, bonds, startups, and financial commodities first. Asset prices increase ahead of CPI. The wage earner then not only buys more expensive food, but is also pushed further away from property ownership.

The clearest historical example is France in the early 18th century with John Law and the Mississippi Company. The system of notes, banks and privileged shares created a huge asset fever. People who enter early, are close to information and close to financial power can exchange paper for real assets or exit first. Late entrants hold paper and stocks after the bubble burst.

Modern examples are QE and cheap money after 2008 or 2020. Central banks buy financial assets, lowering yields and forcing investors to look for profits in riskier places. Stocks, corporate bonds, real estate and private assets often react first. Nominal wages often react more slowly, and young people looking to buy a home encounter asset prices that have been pulled up by a wave of credit that preceded them.

Brief comparison: in the 18th century, those closest to gold, silver, court and trade privileges won first. In the 21st century, the person closest to the bank, balance sheet, collateral and liquidity policy wins first. Money technology changes, but the order of receiving money remains the map of power.

Collateral Is a Private Money Printer

In everyday life, the phrase "rich people use money to make money" is not accurate enough. The correct mechanism is: Rich people use assets to borrow new money. Real estate, stocks, bonds and corporate cash flows are revalued; The higher the price, the larger the loan limit; The larger the loan limit, the stronger the ability to buy additional assets.

The ECB defines collateral very simply: it is an asset that the lender can seize if the borrower does not repay the loan. But in an asset-based economy, collateral is not just insurance for banks. It is a class passport. If you have a house, you can borrow. If you have stocks, you can margin it. If you have bonds, you can repo. If you have a business, you can issue debt. With nothing but salary, there is only consumption paid in installments with higher interest rates.

Here's the cruel point: poor people often borrow to consume or survive, so debt weakens them. Rich people borrow to buy profitable assets, so debt can make them stronger. It's the same "debt", but one side is shackles, the other side is leverage.

Fed Z.1 shows US net assets reaching approx 168.8 trillion USD by the end of 2025, of which household real estate is approx 52.1 trillion USD. When monetary policy pushes up asset prices, the benefits are not evenly distributed. It goes towards those who already have large balance sheets.

International Level: USD Is the Imperial Version

USD is not the whole story, but is the strongest international version of the same logic. At the domestic level, people closest to banks and assets receive money first. At the global level, the country issuing the reserve currency receives the real goods first, while the rest of the world holds the debt notes, foreign exchange reserves and fiat assets denominated in that currency.

BIS recorded global foreign-exchange turnover of 7.5 trillion USD per day in April 2022, and the USD appeared on one side of 88% of transactions. IMF COFER shows that the USD still accounted for about 56.3% of allocated foreign-exchange reserves at the end of Q2/2025. According to the U.S. Treasury TIC table, by the end of March 2026 foreign holders owned about 9.35 trillion USD of U.S. Treasury securities.

In other words: emerging countries sell real goods, accumulate USD, and then part of that USD goes back to finance US public debt. The seller actually receives the financial asset. The issuer of the financial asset receives the real goods. This is not an exception, but the same asset-credit-power loop at the planetary level.

When the majority of trade bills, corporate debt, central bank reserves and foreign exchange transactions revolve around the USD, a small country cannot simply declare: "From tomorrow I won't play anymore." If you don't play, you can't pay. If you cannot pay, you cannot import. If we cannot import, factories, gasoline, components, medicine and food will all be affected.

When the Fed Pushes the Button

The problem does not stop with who uses which currency. The bigger problem is that the monetary cycle of the center becomes the financial cycle of the periphery. The Fed is the biggest example, but this logic also holds true for the ECB, BoJ, PBoC or any central bank large enough to cause asset prices and capital flows to change direction.

When the US economy is in crisis, the Fed lowers interest rates and expands the balance sheet. After 2008 and especially after 2020, QE caused the Fed balance sheet to swell to approx 8.9 trillion USD in 2022. Cheap money seeks yield, flowing into stocks, bonds, real estate and emerging markets. Asset prices increase. Businesses borrow easily. The government thinks it is good.

But when inflation returned, the Fed raised interest rates and sucked up liquidity. Hot capital flows turned around. USD strengthens. Domestic currencies of emerging countries lose value. Once cheap USD debt suddenly became a burden because revenue was in local currency but debt repayment obligations were in USD.

A business that borrows 100 million USD does not need to borrow any more money to "bulge up its debt". Just if the local currency loses 20%, the amount of money that must be earned in local currency to pay the same USD debt has increased by 25%. If domestic revenues do not increase proportionately, the balance sheet itself cracks.

That's why names like Sri Lanka, Argentina or many African economies often appear in debt crises. Domestic governance errors are real, but the bullets that pierce the system are usually a strong USD, high US interest rates and closed capital markets.

Vietnam In The Vortex

Vietnam is neither a passive victim nor a bystander. Vietnam's growth model relies heavily on exports, FDI and exchange rate stability. The IMF recorded Vietnam's economic growth 7.1% 2024, supported by strong exports, sustained FDI and supportive policies; But the IMF also warned that the export model faces trade uncertainty and tightening global financial conditions.

World Bank said that in the first 9 months of 2024, Vietnam had a current account surplus 17.5 billion USD, equivalent 5.4% GDP, but the overall balance of payments is still negative due to large capital outflows and capital errors/losses. The same report noted that SBV had to intervene to sell reserves and use open market operations to reduce pressure on VND devaluation.

Speaking in everyday language: Vietnam can sell goods and still earn foreign currency, but when the interest rate difference and strong USD sentiment appear, money can still run out. Workers do not need to know what "financial account deficit" is. They only see gasoline, milk, medicine, international tuition, imported components and goods priced in USD more expensive.

Deeper understanding: EM's fate when the US injects money and then withdraws it

The vortex usually starts beautifully. As the Fed lowers interest rates and injects liquidity, global investors seek higher yields. Cheap money flows to stocks, bonds, real estate and corporate debt in emerging markets. EM governments and businesses see that USD is cheap, the market is open, and coupons are low, so they should issue debt in USD or borrow foreign currency.

But when inflation in the US increased and the Fed turned around, the problem reversed. From March 2022 to July 2023, the Fed raised rates from the 0-0.25% range to 5.25-5.5%. The IMF describes the mechanism very directly: high US interest rates pull capital away from EM because investors reallocate portfolios toward higher USD yields; capital outflows cause EM currencies to depreciate against the USD.

The year 2022 is a clear example. The IMF recorded the USD reaching its highest level since 2000, increasing by approx 6% against a basket of EM currencies from the beginning of the year to October 2022. 6% may sound small, but for a country or business with large USD debt, each percentage devaluation is a bulging debt obligation in the local currency.

Cash injection phase USD is cheap, interest rates are low, investors hunt for yield, EM issues debt more easily, domestic assets increase in price, businesses think foreign currency is a cheap source of capital.
Withdrawal phase The Fed raises interest rates, the USD is strong, capital flows out, the domestic currency depreciates, domestic interest rates have to increase, USD debt swells even without borrowing more.

The pain lies in the mismatch. Revenue of local businesses is often in local currency, government budget revenue is also in local currency, but debt repayment obligations are in USD. If the local currency loses 20%, the $100 million debt remains unchanged on the contract, but the amount of local currency needed to pay it increases by 25%. If the currency loses 50%, the burden in local currency doubles.

World Bank recorded record spending by developing countries 1.4 trillion USD to repay foreign debt in 2023, when interest costs reach a 20-year high. For the group of poor countries borrowing from IDA, interest payments on foreign debt have increased by approx 23.6 billion USD, four times more than in 2012 according to International Debt Report 2023.

Sri Lanka, Argentina and many African countries are different examples of the same underlying disease: foreign currency debt, thin reserves, current or fiscal deficits, import shocks, and then when the USD is strong and capital markets are closed, the system no longer has enough oxygen. It's not all about the Fed. But when the printing presses in Washington turn, countries with weak balance sheets are often the first to be exhaled.

Roughly speaking but true to its essence: the global financial system allows the center to issue currency needed by the whole world, while the periphery must sell real goods, labor and resources to earn that currency. When there is excess liquidity, the periphery is invited to borrow. When liquidity shrinks, the peripheral is required to pay in a strengthening currency.

A Bowl of Pho, Housing Prices, and a Policy Click

When the center loosens monetary policy, some of the liquidity spills out into the world and pushes up asset, commodity, and energy prices. When the center tightens, part of the liquidity withdraws to a safe place and pushes emerging countries into a defensive exchange rate position. In both directions, workers often don't have a seat in the meeting room but their name is on the bill.

In the morning, a worker in Binh Duong saw the price of a bowl of pho increase, the price of a gas tank increased, and the price of a room rent increased. A young couple sees apartment prices running faster than savings. An office worker saw his salary increase by 7%, and the house he wanted to buy increased by 20%. No one tells them that their purchasing power is partly determined by M2, bank credit, land prices, bond yields, DXY and risk appetite of capital flows.

That is the subtle side of monetary colonialism: it turns exploitation into macroeconomic fluctuations, turns privilege into "markets", turns the power to create money into the capacity to invest, and turns the decisions of the asset-holding class into the living costs of the class living on wages.

When the Exploited Fight Back

When people no longer believe that the domestic currency can retain its purchasing power, they do not write an economic manifesto. They act very pragmatically: exchange to USD, buy gold, buy land, buy crypto, keep foreign currency in cash, quote prices in another unit, or find ways to take assets out of the system that they no longer trust.

This is the demonetization of trust. The local currency still exists legally, but people silently downgrade it: they use it to pay wages, taxes, and small bills, while large assets are anchored to gold, USD, real estate, or another benchmark. The state can force people to use the official currency on invoices, but it is much harder to force them to believe in it.

In market language, this is when the public starts to short the domestic currency. They do not need to open a derivatives account or place orders on a terminal. They only need to sell VND to buy USD, gold, land, durable goods, or foreign assets. Every small action is a vote against monetary dilution.

1
Dollarization
When the local currency is persistently devalued, people use USD as a store of value or an underground quote unit, even though the law still calls the local currency the official currency.
2
Goldization
Gold becomes a vote of no confidence in paper money: difficult to print more, regardless of any government's debt repayment promise.
3
Assetization
People with the means buy land, houses, stocks, and scarce goods to get rid of cash. This in turn pushes asset prices higher.
4
Capital flight
As confidence drops further, money finds its way abroad, into offshore accounts, international assets or other payment systems.

This resistance makes sense at the individual level, but it has side effects at the social level. Dollarization reduces the central bank's policy power. Goldization leaves capital idle outside the productive system. Assetization turns housing into a vault, making it even harder for young people to buy homes. Capital flight weakens the domestic currency further, leaving those who stay behind with more imported inflation.

Deeper understanding: when people short their local currency, the cost of printing money increases

A state can create more domestic currency, but it cannot force people to hold the domestic currency with the same level of trust. If people see that borrowed money and printed money are pumping up asset prices too high, and wages and cash savings are left behind, the natural reaction is to change the unit of value storage: from local currency to USD, gold, land, commodities or offshore assets.

Normal People keep local currency deposits, banks still have domestic capital, interest rates do not need to be too high, the central bank can loosen them without the exchange rate reacting strongly.
When you lose faith People sell local currency to buy USD/gold, local currency deposits are withdrawn or transferred to short terms, foreign currency demand increases, exchange rates are under pressure, banks have to pay higher interest to keep money.

The transmission mechanism is very straight. When many people buy USD, the demand for USD increases and the demand for domestic currency decreases. If the central bank wants to maintain the exchange rate, it must sell foreign exchange reserves to the market to supply USD. But when selling USD and withdrawing domestic currency, domestic liquidity shrinks. Commercial banks lack cheaper capital, interbank interest rates and deposit interest rates tend to increase.

If the central bank does not want to burn reserves, it must let the domestic currency depreciate or raise interest rates to make holding the domestic currency more attractive. Both increase the cost of printing money. To maintain the exchange rate, you lose reserves and absorb liquidity. To keep people in the local currency, higher interest payments must be made. If the domestic currency falls, imports, gasoline, and goods priced in USD will become more expensive.

The more dangerous problem is that this defensive reaction can easily turn into an asset bubble. When people don't want to keep cash, they pour it into land, houses, gold, USD and scarce goods. Rising asset prices create a feeling of "that's right, we have to buy quickly to avoid missing the train", pulling more credit and speculation into the same place. The country thinks it is getting rich because real estate prices are increasing, but in reality the economy is turning real estate into a safe against currency devaluation.

When the USD is still cheap, this bubble can live a long time because businesses, banks and investors can refinance. But when the Fed raises interest rates, USD funding becomes more expensive and capital flows return to the US, that structure is squeezed at both ends: USD capital costs increase, the domestic currency is under pressure to depreciate, domestic interest rates must increase to maintain the exchange rate, and domestic assets lose marginal buyers. The bubble that was once fed by cheap money and confidence in assets will begin to kill the EM country itself: bad debt increases, banks are stuck with falling collateral, businesses lose liquidity, people are trapped in assets that are difficult to sell.

Therefore, hoarding gold/foreign currency is not just a personal defensive behavior. When enough people do it at the same time, it becomes a vote against monetary policy. The more the government prints or expands credit without creating real productivity, the more people demand a higher risk premium to hold the domestic currency. That compensation comes in the form of higher interest rates, weaker exchange rates, thinner foreign exchange reserves, or tighter capital controls.

This is the limit of every fiat regime in EM: you can print local currency, but you cannot print trust; You can inject liquidity, but you can't force people to price their future in a currency they think is being diluted to save asset owners.

At the global level, resistance takes a different shape: countries want to reduce their dependence on the USD, reduce the risk of financial sanctions, reduce the power of the Western payment system and reduce the need to hold too many USD-denominated assets. BRICS is the political symbol of this trend, but the real story is not "tomorrow there will be a BRICS currency replacing the USD". It is a series of smaller experiments: local currency payments, increasing the role of development banks, expanding CIPS, testing cross-border CBDCs, buying more gold, and building parallel payment infrastructure.

The Atlantic Council noted that after 2022, especially after the G7 increased the use of financial sanctions against Russia, many countries signaled that they wanted to diversify away from the USD. But the same source also pointed out that BRICS is still in the formative stage: the 2025 communiqué talks a lot about local currency financing and payment systems, but is still more about discussion than complete implementation.

Deeper understanding: when the world shorts USD, the US also has to pay a higher price

This mechanism is similar to the global version of shorting local currencies. If the US prints too much, borrows too much, uses the USD as a weapon to punish too much, or makes USD holders feel their purchasing power is diluted, central banks and foreign investors will not necessarily sell off immediately. They just need to slow down new purchases, reduce the proportion of USD in reserves, transfer part of it to gold, euros, RMB, or hold shorter-term US bonds.

When the world still believed in USD The US issues debt, foreign countries buy Treasuries because they need safe and liquid assets. Large demand keeps yields lower, Washington borrows cheaper, and budget deficits are easier to finance.
When faith is weak The central bank reduces the proportion of USD, buys more gold, demands higher yields or avoids long durations. The US can still borrow, but must pay higher interest to convince others to keep its debt papers.

This is the price of monetary privilege when abused. Printing money domestically could boost US assets first, but if the rest of the world begins to doubt the long-term purchasing power of the USD, they will demand a higher risk premium. That premium comes in the form of higher Treasury yields, higher term premiums, higher interest costs on US budget borrowing, and greater pressure on the Fed if it has to choose between saving the bond market or fighting inflation.

Data has shown signs of slow movement. IMF COFER shows that the proportion of USD in allocated foreign exchange reserves is no longer as overwhelming as it was during Bretton Woods, although it is still at the top. The 2025 Treasury report recorded foreign ownership of about 34% of Treasuries, but the share of official investors in total foreign Treasury holdings fell from about 59% to 43% from 2020 to 2025. At the same time, central banks bought gold heavily for many consecutive years.

The important point: de-dollarization doesn't need to happen like a crash to hurt America. As long as Treasuries' marginal buyers demand an additional 0.5-1.0 percentage point of yield, the financing costs of a government with tens of trillions of dollars in debt have changed dramatically. At that time, the right to print money still existed, but it was no longer free like before.

In short: America can print USD, but cannot print the confidence of the rest of the world. If the world begins to short USD by reducing USD reserves, buying gold, using local currency in trade and demanding higher yields, the costs of monetary empire will increase right in the US bond market itself.

Exiting USD is not easy because USD is not just money. It is liquidity, deep bond markets, legal, commodity pricing, correspondent banking systems, collateral and global accounting habits. If you want to replace it, you have to replace the whole pipe, not just the symbol on the bill.

Still, heavy central-bank gold buying is a notable signal. The World Gold Council says central banks were net buyers of gold for 15 consecutive years through the end of 2024; Brookings cites WGC estimates that they bought about 1,092 tons in 2024 and 863 tons in 2025. Gold does not pay interest, but it has one quality bonds do not: it is not someone else's debt.

So currency resistance has two layers. Ordinary people fight back by protecting their purchasing power: USD, gold, land, assets. Countries fight back by diversifying their reserves, building their own payment systems, signing local currency agreements and buying gold. They both said the same thing through their actions: "I don't want to let my entire future rest in money that others have the power to dilute."

Conclusion

Old-style colonialism took gold, rubber, rice, oil and labor with guns and bullets. Monetary colonialism doesn't need to do that every day. It uses the power to create money, the power to distribute credit, collateral, payment systems, debt and interest rate cycles to pull real value from those far from the source of money to those standing near the source of money.

The danger is that this system is not completely wrong, not completely fake, and not easy to replace. Credit is needed. Banking is necessary. Fiat money is needed. USD is useful because the US market is deep and has great liquidity. But just because a system is useful doesn't mean it's fair.

For individuals, the lesson is not to hate money or hate banks. The lesson is to understand why owning assets is more important than saving cash in a system that continually dilutes the measure. For the country, the lesson is not to shout the slogan of abandoning the USD tomorrow. The more practical lesson is to reduce foreign currency debt without natural cash flows, develop domestic capital markets, control asset bubbles, maintain fiscal discipline and understand that in every cycle of cheap money, there are people who are saved first and people who pay the bills later.

Modern empires do not necessarily wear military uniforms. Sometimes it's a balance sheet, a line of credit, a refinancing, a revalued mortgage, and a society taught that rising asset prices equal prosperity.

Data Source

  1. Banco de España, "How is money created?": the majority of money in circulation is created by commercial banks when issuing loans and crediting customer accounts. bde.es
  2. Richard Cantillon, "Essay on the Nature of Trade in General": foundation for the idea later known as the Cantillon effect - new money enters the economy through specific groups and changes relative prices before spreading. econlib.org
  3. "The Redistributive Politics of Monetary Policy" notes that the Cantillon effect is the process in which early recipients of money benefit, while late recipients lose purchasing power; For example, wartime paper money goes first into the pockets of war contractors. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
  4. St. Louis Fed, "The Rise and Fall of M2": US M2 grew by 26.9% YoY in February 2021 and behaved very unusually from 2020-2022. stlouisfed.org
  5. Federal Reserve Z.1, Financial Accounts 2025: US net assets reach 168.8 trillion USD by the end of 2025; household real estate is about 52.1 trillion USD. federalreserve.gov
  6. ECB explainer, "What is collateral?": collateral is the asset the lender can seize if the borrower fails to repay; Central banks also require collateral when lending. ecb.europa.eu
  7. BIS, Triennial Central Bank Survey 2022: FX turnover reaches 7.5 trillion USD/day, USD on one side of 88% of transactions. bis.org
  8. IMF COFER, Q2/2025: USD accounts for 56.32% of allocated foreign exchange reserves according to unadjusted data. imf.org
  9. U.S. Treasury TIC Table 5, March 2026: foreign countries hold 9.3487 trillion USD Treasuries; foreign official holds 3.9022 trillion USD. ticdata.treasury.gov
  10. U.S. Treasury, Foreign Portfolio Holdings of U.S. Securities as of June 30, 2025: foreign ownership of Treasuries reaches 9.1 trillion USD and about 34% of total Treasuries; official investors' share of foreign Treasury holdings decreases from 59% to 43% from 2020 to 2025. ticdata.treasury.gov
  11. IMF Working Paper "Why Follow the Fed?": Fed hikes are contractionary towards EM, pulling capital away from EM as investors seek higher USD yields, devaluing EM currencies. imf.org
  12. IMF, "How Countries Should Respond to the Strong Dollar": USD in 2022 at highest level since 2000, up 6% against EM currencies from the beginning of the year to October 2022. imf.org
  13. World Bank International Debt Report 2024: developing countries spend a record 1.4 trillion USD to repay foreign debt in 2023, interest costs reach a 20-year high. worldbank.org
  14. World Bank International Debt Report 2023 data note: tight monetary policy and slowing growth increase debt crisis risk; IDA group's foreign debt repayment interest increased fourfold from 2012 to 23.6 billion USD. worldbank.org
  15. Atlantic Council Dollar Dominance Monitor: after 2022, many countries signal to diversify away from USD; BRICS/CIPS/mBridge initiatives are still in the formative stage and there are many barriers. atlanticcouncil.org
  16. World Gold Council, Gold Demand Trends 2024: central banks are net buyers of gold for 15 consecutive years; Gold buying activity in 2024 will mainly come from many emerging market central banks. gold.org
  17. Brookings, "How important are central bank holdings of gold?": gold accounts for about 17% of global reserves, and WGC estimates central bank purchases of 1,092 tons in 2024, 863 tons in 2025. brookings.edu
  18. IMF Vietnam Article IV 2025: Vietnam grows 7.1% in 2024, export model is subject to risks from trade uncertainty and global financial conditions. imf.org
  19. World Bank Taking Stock 2025: Vietnam has a current surplus of 17.5 billion USD, 5.4% of GDP in 9M-2024; negative balance of payments due to capital outflows and capital errors/losses. worldbank.org

Read next

More from the shelf

May 23, 2026The Fed Is More Than Rate Hikes And Cuts: QE, QT, Repo, And The Liquidity MachineApr 26, 2026Gold At $5,000: Global Hoarding Demand?Jul 19, 2026Vietnam's Fiscal Room, FX Reserves and the Exchange RateJun 2, 2026Currency Strength Ranking Against The USD: 2006-2026

Pass it on

If it found you, share it kindly

XEmail

03 Discussion

Leave a note

A considered space for questions, counterpoints, and useful additions. Civil, on-topic, signed.

Reader notes

...

Loading notes...